Cypher
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Games: Mass Effect Trilogy, Dragon Age: Origins, Dragon Age 2, KOTOR, Jade Empire
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Post by Cypher on Feb 1, 2017 3:29:13 GMT
I have no financial incentive to care; bioware will sell enough to make another Mass Effect game a viable option + the copy I'll buy.
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Post by Andrew Lucas on Feb 1, 2017 3:32:49 GMT
And it sold over a million with both consoles combined. Take the PS4 for example, it sold 2m retail, and almost that for Xbox One, so you have three million units sold alone, not taking digital along. There's no absolute doubt MEA will outgross DAI. It's a more accessible and well know IP, no doubt about that. I'm taking numbers from vgchartz with a huge grain of salt. I'm not necessarily saying MEA won't outsell DAI, just pointing out the potential customer base was much higher with DAI, even though hardcore gamers, those who buy most games, have already switched to next-gen for the most part. It's the most reliable source. And the install base is also bigger by now.
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kino
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The path up and down are one and the same.
Games: Mass Effect Trilogy, Dragon Age: Origins, Dragon Age 2, Dragon Age Inquisition, Baldur's Gate, Jade Empire, Mass Effect Andromeda, Anthem, Mass Effect Legendary Edition, Dragon Age The Veilguard
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Post by kino on Feb 1, 2017 3:36:31 GMT
I'm thinking 1.5 to 2 million in the first week, another 500k the next week, and then the inevitable drop off until the first DLC.
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helios969
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Post by helios969 on Feb 1, 2017 10:21:05 GMT
As I recall TW3 sold 4 million the first week, it will not exceed that. I seem to remember the individual ME games only sold a bit more than 4 million copies each with ME2 being the best seller, so what are the chances in one week it outsells ME2's total sales?
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unofficialgreycolor
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Games: Dragon Age: Origins, Dragon Age Inquistion, Mass Effect Andromeda
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Post by unofficialgreycolor on Feb 1, 2017 10:23:41 GMT
1.2 mill, that's my guess... for PC. Consoles will be prolly 2-3 mill each.
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Gileadan
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Post by Gileadan on Feb 1, 2017 10:30:31 GMT
I honestly have no idea, but I have a weird feeling that the AAA game market is a bit on the decline, plus MEA's marketing was far from impressive so far, so I picked the first option. Maybe 1 or 2 million if they're lucky.
We will probably never find out because EA will describe it with a weasel sentence like "BioWare Montreal's most successful Mass Effect title" or some such.
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Origin: helios969
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Post by helios969 on Feb 1, 2017 10:31:56 GMT
1.2 mill, that's my guess... for PC. Consoles will be prolly 2-3 mill each. If they do that in one week EA executes are gonna be doing back flips and lighting cigars wrapped with hundred dollar bills...and Bio will be given a whole lot of latitude moving forward.
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unofficialgreycolor
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Games: Dragon Age: Origins, Dragon Age Inquistion, Mass Effect Andromeda
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Post by unofficialgreycolor on Feb 1, 2017 10:35:56 GMT
1.2 mill, that's my guess... for PC. Consoles will be prolly 2-3 mill each. If they do that in one week EA executes are gonna be doing back flips and lighting cigars wrapped with hundred dollar bills...and Bio will be given a whole lot of latitude moving forward. I don't really know any of this sales stuff. I just know that consoles will prolly outsell PC by about 75%. *shrug*
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Post by blueasari on Feb 1, 2017 11:03:09 GMT
10 million easy.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 1, 2017 14:03:33 GMT
I know that one copy will be purchased for sure. Don't ask me how...
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Post by Deleted on Feb 1, 2017 14:14:59 GMT
3 millions sold. 300 millions downloaded...
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normandy
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Post by normandy on Feb 1, 2017 14:28:25 GMT
Their marketing campaign is a bit lacking. If I wasn't a Bioware fan, I would probably never even knew about this game.
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deebo305
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Stealing Your Bike ;)
Games: Mass Effect Trilogy, Dragon Age: Origins, Dragon Age 2, Dragon Age Inquistion, Jade Empire
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Post by deebo305 on Feb 1, 2017 15:19:08 GMT
Andromeda will sell like crazy. Is it even competing with anything? Horizon is out a month before. I don't even hear any hype about wildlands Wildlands will sell just slowly, The Division really hurt the Tom Clancy's name. Hell if it played more like Wildlands rather than Borderland lite than it would have been liked by many of it haters Back on Andromeda, I'll give it a solid 2.5 mil for the first week.
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degs29
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Post by degs29 on Feb 1, 2017 15:23:10 GMT
I imagine you're included pre-orders.
Even so, you can write off 10 million. Very, very few games have achieved that milestone.
5 - 9 million seems very high for a Bioware game in the first week. Have they ever achieved that high?
My guess is ~2.5 million copies in the first week. I'd be very pleasantly surprised if it did over 3.5 million.
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Ivory Samoan
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Raising Hell with the Flavor XX
Games: Mass Effect Trilogy, Dragon Age: Origins, Dragon Age 2, Dragon Age Inquistion, KOTOR, Baldur's Gate
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Post by Ivory Samoan on Feb 1, 2017 18:27:00 GMT
I think around 2.6M, perhaps even 3M (which is massive for a BioWare game first week).
Lifetime I can see it getting to 7M if reviews are great and the MP stacks up, 8M even if the DLC is hyped and done well.
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Post by KaiserShep on Feb 1, 2017 18:38:29 GMT
3,451,016,960, give or take a few dozen.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 1, 2017 19:09:20 GMT
I actually think that Bioware and EA have made a smart move by releasing it in this window, when the big Fall Releases aren't going to compete. That being said, Bioware games aren't the record-breakers like CoD and Halo and Fallout, so I'm hoping it'll do modestly well at 1-2 million in the first two weeks. If the game is good, and if the multiplayer is solid, and, finally, if word of mouth is positive, I could see it ramping up to 5-7 million over the course of a few months to its lifetime. Which would be very successful, IMO; the Witcher 3, while it had a great marketing campaign, was also largely new for most of the people who bought it, so word of mouth really drove that 10 million copy success. Something similar might happen here if Andromeda deserves it.
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Post by dutchsghost7 on Feb 1, 2017 20:01:31 GMT
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pianishimo
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"We are poised to rediscover what truly means to be human"
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Post by pianishimo on Feb 2, 2017 0:38:55 GMT
If all them are expensive as they already are here in Brazil, well...
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